A Tale of Two Storms
“Horror and confusion seized upon all, whether on shore or at sea: no pen can describe it; no tongue can express it; no thought conceive it…” Those were the words of Daniel Defoe in “The Storm”, which...
View ArticleWhen Did Windstorms Become So Wet?
Looking back to the start of the European windstorm season, my colleague Brian Owens pondered whether the insurance industry would experience a windfall or windy fall? Well, a week into February, I...
View ArticleLessons Learned from Winter Windstorm Season in Europe
The 2013–2014 winter windstorm season in Europe will be remembered for being particularly active, bringing persistent unsettled weather to the region, and with it some exceptional meteorological...
View ArticleMatching Modeled Loss Against Historic Loss in European Windstorm Data
To be Solvency II compliant, re/insurers must validate the models they use, which can include comparisons to historical loss experience. In working towards model validation, companies may find their...
View ArticleLocation, location, location: what makes a windstorm memorable?
While wind speed can indicate a storm’s damageability, two storms with similar peak wind speeds can cause vastly different levels of damage if they pass over locations with different concentrations of...
View ArticleLessons Hidden In A Quiet Windstorm Season
Wind gusts in excess of 100mph hit remote parts of Scotland earlier this month as a strong jet stream brought windstorms Elon and Felix to Europe. The storms are some of the strongest so far this...
View ArticleThe challenges around modeling European windstorm clustering for the...
In December I wrote about Lothar and Daria, a cluster of windstorms that emphasized the significance of ‘location’ when assessing windstorm risk. This month we have the 25th anniversary of the most...
View ArticleWhat Is In Store For Europe Windstorm Activity This Winter
From tropical volcanoes to Arctic sea-ice, recent research has discovered a variety of sources of predictability for European winter wind climate. Based on this research, what are the indicators for...
View ArticleEuropean Windstorm: Such A Peculiarly Uncertain Risk for Solvency II
Europe’s windstorm season is upon us. As always, the risk is particularly uncertain, and with Solvency II due smack in the middle of the season, there is greater imperative to really understand the...
View ArticleEurope’s Winter Windstorms – the Only Certainty is Uncertainty
The annual damage from European windstorms can range significantly: from years when there are clusters of severely damaging storms to other years with almost no windstorm loss. How much of this...
View ArticleSeasonal Forecast of European Windstorm Activity: Will a Stormier Atlantic...
Known indicators point to stormier conditions in the North Atlantic this winter. However, what this means for Europe windstorm losses is much less certain. Our ability to understand and forecast...
View ArticleWhen Did Windstorms Become So Wet?
Looking back to the start of the European windstorm season, my colleague Brian Owens pondered whether the insurance industry would experience a windfall or windy fall? Well, a week into February, I...
View ArticleLessons Learned from Winter Windstorm Season in Europe
The 2013–2014 winter windstorm season in Europe will be remembered for being particularly active, bringing persistent unsettled weather to the region, and with it some exceptional meteorological...
View ArticleMatching Modeled Loss Against Historic Loss in European Windstorm Data
To be Solvency II compliant, re/insurers must validate the models they use, which can include comparisons to historical loss experience. In working towards model validation, companies may find their...
View ArticleLocation, Location, Location: What Makes a Windstorm Memorable?
While wind speed can indicate a storm’s damageability, two storms with similar peak wind speeds can cause vastly different levels of damage if they pass over locations with different concentrations of...
View ArticleLessons Hidden In A Quiet Windstorm Season
Wind gusts in excess of 100mph hit remote parts of Scotland earlier this month as a strong jet stream brought windstorms Elon and Felix to Europe. The storms are some of the strongest so far this...
View ArticleThe Challenges Around Modeling European Windstorm Clustering for the...
In December I wrote about Lothar and Daria, a cluster of windstorms that emphasized the significance of ‘location’ when assessing windstorm risk. This month we have the 25th anniversary of the most...
View ArticleWhat Is In Store For Europe Windstorm Activity This Winter
From tropical volcanoes to Arctic sea-ice, recent research has discovered a variety of sources of predictability for European winter wind climate. Based on this research, what are the indicators for...
View ArticleEuropean Windstorm: Such A Peculiarly Uncertain Risk for Solvency II
Europe’s windstorm season is upon us. As always, the risk is particularly uncertain, and with Solvency II due smack in the middle of the season, there is greater imperative to really understand the...
View ArticleEurope’s Winter Windstorms – the Only Certainty is Uncertainty
The annual damage from European windstorms can range significantly: from years when there are clusters of severely damaging storms to other years with almost no windstorm loss. How much of this...
View Article